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Scientific-technical journal

Abstract

This article is devoted to the development of a model for the analysis of traffic accidents in the Republic of Uzbekistan, taking into account the level of motorization and population. And also, statistical data of a road traffic accident throughout the country is processed to determine the forecast of a possible accident rate using the model of prof. R. Smid. In conclusion, a comparison of the methods for predicting the fatalities in road accidents is provided.

First Page

58

Last Page

63

References

[1] United Nations Economic Commission for Europe [Электронный ресурс]: [веб-сайт]. Number of pedestrians killed in road traffic accidents, year 2020.

[2] The International Transport Forum at the OECD [Elektronnыy resurs]: [veb-sayt]. Road Safety Annual Report 2020. Rejim dostupa:

[3] The Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) [Elektronnыy resurs]: [veb-sayt]. Transport.

[4] Evlenov R. G. Razrabotka meropriyatiy po povыsheniyu bezopasnosti dorojnogo dvijeniya (na primere Respubliki Dagestan): dis. – RG Evlenov. M., 2007.

[5] Smeed R.J. "Some statistical aspects of road safety research". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), Vol. 112, No. 1. 112 (1): 1–34.

[6] John Adams. "Smeed's Law: some further thoughts" (PDF). Traffic Engineering and Control. 1987. 28 (2): 70–73.

[7] Ross, Hugh Laurence, Evans, Leonard; Schwing, Richard C. (eds.), "Smeed's Law, Seat Belts, and the Emperor's New Clothes", Human Behavior and Traffic Safety, Springer US, 1985. pp. 193–257.

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